Daniel Evans vs Karl Poling Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Recently, Poling has won 43.79% of points on his second serve compared to Evans' 42.53%. This stat significantly correlates with predicting match outcomes.
• Return Game Stats: Poling has taken 47.24% of opponents' second serve points, outperforming Evans' 44.89%. For first serve returns, Poling also leads with 28.41% against Evans' 26.64%.
• Pressure Situations: Saving breakpoints is crucial, where Poling excels with 55.64% saved compared to Evans' 50.53%.
• Overall Performance: Over the past year, Poling has secured 52.86% of his matches, while Evans has achieved a 50% win rate.
• Surface Strengths: Both perform best on I.hard, but Evans excels more, with a win percentage of 62% versus Poling’s 55%.
• Competition Level: Poling competes mainly in ITF $10K events with a 53.06% win rate, while Evans fights at higher levels in Challengers/ITF tournaments, winning 43.48%.
• Opponent Quality: Evans faces stronger opponents with average ranks of 180.2 compared to Poling’s 417.6.
• Deciding Sets: If the match reaches a deciding set, Evans tends to be stronger, claiming victory in 61% of those instances, compared to Poling’s 55%.
• Break Point Conversion: Poling converts 37.5% of breakpoint chances, slightly ahead of Evans' 37.01%.

Editorial Prediction (August 13, 2025, UTC):

When comparing the recent performances and strengths of both players, several aspects stand out. Poling has been slightly better in serving and returning over the past six months, demonstrating consistent strengths in crucial moments, like saving and converting breakpoints.

Evans, meanwhile, has frequently competed at a higher level of opposition, characterized by facing opponents of stronger calibre. This experience may benefit him under pressure or in closely contested matches, especially in deciding sets, where he has shown remarkable tenacity.

Both players perform their best on I.hard surfaces; however, Evans has a superior track record on this surface. Thus, his experience and previous performance on I.hard may grant him a slight edge.

Taking into account all these factors, Evans, with consistent experience against tougher opponents and strong performance in deciding sets, appears slightly more poised for victory in the upcoming match.